Correlation

What is correlation?

  • Correlation describes how two quantities are related to each other
  • Positive correlation is when one quantity increases and the other quantity increases
    • For example, as temperature increases, sales of cold drinks increase
  • Negative correlation is when one quantity decreases while the other quantity increases
    • For example, the value of a car decreases as its age increases
  • No (zero) correlation is where there is no apparent relationship
    • For example, the masses of snails and scores in an exam

What does the phrase “correlation does not imply causation” mean?

  • If two quantities correlate, it does not mean that the first causes the second
  • For example, each day you record the height of a sunflower and the weight of a puppy
    • As the height of the sunflower increases, the weight of the puppy increases
      • This is a positive correlation
    • But you cannot claim that:
      • If you want your puppy to weigh more, make your sunflower taller!
      • Sunflowers grow better when puppies are heavier!
    • Both quantities may be increasing due to another reason
      • In this case, time

Scatter graphs

What are scatter graphs?

  • Scattergraphs (or scatter diagrams) are used to plot pairs of data
    • For example, students’ Maths grades against their Physics grades
  • The vertical and horizontal axes represent the two quantities being measured
  • Points are plotted as crosses, ×
    • They are not joined up
  • The general shape formed by the points shows the type of correlation
    • Positive correlation goes from bottom left to top right
      • A positive gradient
    • Negative correlation goes from top left to bottom right
      • A negative gradient
    • No (zero) correlation looks like a cloud of points
  • Correlations can be weak or strong
    • The stronger the correlation, the closer to a straight line the data points lie

Examples

(1) “We can more ice cream as the temperature rises.” What type of correlation is this? [1]

Answer: Positive

(2) What type of correlation does the scatter diagram show? [1]

Answer: Negative


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